Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001118 0.001268 0.001420 0.001583 0.001754 0.001927 0.002114
2025-08-31 0.000895 0.001111 0.001337 0.001586 0.001854 0.002129 0.002434
2025-09-07 0.000740 0.001006 0.001292 0.001616 0.001971 0.002342 0.002758
2025-09-14 0.000574 0.000870 0.001200 0.001585 0.002014 0.002470 0.002987
2025-09-21 0.000474 0.000798 0.001172 0.001617 0.002120 0.002662 0.003280
2025-09-28 0.000412 0.000763 0.001180 0.001686 0.002264 0.002892 0.003614
2025-10-05 0.000326 0.000689 0.001135 0.001688 0.002329 0.003032 0.003846
2025-10-12 0.000265 0.000638 0.001115 0.001715 0.002419 0.003197 0.004102
2025-10-19 0.000194 0.000564 0.001058 0.001695 0.002452 0.003295 0.004282
2025-10-26 0.000142 0.000507 0.001020 0.001693 0.002503 0.003411 0.004480
2025-11-02 0.000093 0.000444 0.000967 0.001671 0.002527 0.003494 0.004639
2025-11-09 0.000060 0.000400 0.000936 0.001671 0.002576 0.003604 0.004827
2025-11-16 0.000011 0.000298 0.000829 0.001592 0.002551 0.003654 0.004977
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000239 0.000778 0.001582 0.002610 0.003804 0.005243
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000199 0.000752 0.001604 0.002707 0.003998 0.005562
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000142 0.000687 0.001568 0.002732 0.004106 0.005781
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000115 0.000669 0.001596 0.002835 0.004306 0.006106
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000103 0.000679 0.001663 0.002985 0.004562 0.006494
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000074 0.000645 0.001664 0.003051 0.004716 0.006764
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000056 0.000630 0.001689 0.003147 0.004905 0.007073
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000031 0.000586 0.001669 0.003182 0.005019 0.007293
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000016 0.000555 0.001667 0.003239 0.005158 0.007541
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000004 0.000514 0.001644 0.003267 0.005261 0.007746